{"id":1148,"date":"2025-09-09T15:34:31","date_gmt":"2025-09-09T07:34:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/?p=1148"},"modified":"2025-09-09T15:34:31","modified_gmt":"2025-09-09T07:34:31","slug":"%e3%80%8a%e5%bd%b1%e5%93%8d%e5%8a%9b%e7%9a%84%e5%85%ab%e5%a4%a7%e9%9a%9c%e7%a2%8d%e3%80%8b%e5%a1%94%e5%88%a9%c2%b7%e8%8e%8e%e7%bd%97%e7%89%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/?p=1148","title":{"rendered":"\u300a\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d\u300b\u5854\u5229\u00b7\u838e\u7f57\u7279"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u5728\u300a\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d\u300b\u4e2d\uff0c\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5854\u5229\u00b7\u838e\u7f57\u7279 \uff08Tali Sharot\uff09 \u5e26\u6211\u4eec\u63a2\u7d22\u4e86\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u90fd\u6709\u4e49\u52a1\u5f71\u54cd\u4ed6\u4eba\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u8bfe\u5802\u5230\u4f1a\u8bae\u5ba4\u518d\u5230\u793e\u4ea4\u5a92\u4f53\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u89d2\u8272\u4e0a\u7684\u6280\u80fd\u5982\u4f55\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u80fd\u5426\u53d8\u5f97\u66f4\u597d\uff1f<\/p>\n<p>\u4e8b\u5b9e\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u76f4\u89c9\u2014\u2014\u4ece\u4f9d\u9760\u4e8b\u5b9e\u548c\u6570\u636e\u6765\u5851\u9020\u89c2\u70b9\uff0c\u5230\u575a\u6301\u522b\u4eba\u662f\u9519\u7684\u6216\u8bd5\u56fe\u65bd\u52a0\u63a7\u5236\u2014\u2014\u90fd\u662f\u65e0\u6548\u7684\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u4eec\u4e0e\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u601d\u7ef4\u65b9\u5f0f\u4e0d\u76f8\u5bb9\u3002Sharot \u5411\u6211\u4eec\u5c55\u793a\u4e86\u5982\u4f55\u907f\u514d\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9677\u9631\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5f53\u6539\u53d8\u4fe1\u5ff5\u548c\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u5c1d\u8bd5\u4e0e\u652f\u914d\u4eba\u8111\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u5143\u7d20\u5b8c\u7f8e\u5339\u914d\u65f6\u5982\u4f55\u6210\u529f\u3002Sharot \u63ed\u793a\u4e86\u60c5\u611f\u5728\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u4e2d\u7684\u5173\u952e\u4f5c\u7528\u3001\u6570\u636e\u7684\u5f31\u70b9\u548c\u597d\u5947\u5fc3\u7684\u529b\u91cf\u3002\u8fd9\u672c\u4e66\u4f9d\u9760\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u884c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u548c\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7684\u6700\u65b0\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5bf9\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u590d\u6742\u529b\u91cf\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u5f15\u4eba\u5165\u80dc\u7684\u89c1\u89e3\u3002<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_45684\" style=\"width: 381px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-45684\" class=\"wp-image-45684\" src=\"https:\/\/cdn.feizhaojun.com\/wp-resource\/mdhaerk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1752149998-\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d-759x1024.jpg\" alt=\"\u300a\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d\u300b\u5854\u5229\u00b7\u838e\u7f57\u7279\" alt=\"\u300a\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d\u300b\" width=\"371\" height=\"500\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cdn.feizhaojun.com\/wp-resource\/mdhaerk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1752149998-\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d-759x1024.jpg 759w, https:\/\/cdn.feizhaojun.com\/wp-resource\/mdhaerk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1752149998-\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d-222x300.jpg 222w, https:\/\/cdn.feizhaojun.com\/wp-resource\/mdhaerk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1752149998-\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d-768x1036.jpg 768w, https:\/\/cdn.feizhaojun.com\/wp-resource\/mdhaerk\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/1752149998-\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d.jpg 1125w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 371px) 100vw, 371px\" \/><\/p>\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-45684\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\u300a\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d\u300b<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<h3>\u4f5c\u8005\u7b80\u4ecb<\/h3>\n<p>\u5854\u8389\u00b7\u838e\u4f26\u7279\u662f\u4f26\u6566\u5927\u5b66\u5b66\u9662\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u7cfb\u8ba4\u77e5\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u5e76\u4efb\u6559\u4e8e\u9ebb\u7701\u7406\u5de5\u5b66\u9662\u5927\u8111\u4e0e\u8ba4\u77e5\u79d1\u5b66\u7cfb\uff0c\u62e5\u6709\u7279\u62c9\u7ef4\u592b\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u548c\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\u5b66\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u7ebd\u7ea6\u5927\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u3002\u5979\u662f\u4f26\u6566\u5927\u5b66\u5b66\u9662\u60c5\u611f\u5927\u8111\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u7684\u521b\u59cb\u4eba\u548c\u4e3b\u4efb\u3002\u5979\u5173\u4e8e\u51b3\u7b56\u3001\u60c5\u611f\u548c\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u8bba\u6587\u53d1\u8868\u5728\u300a\u81ea\u7136\u300b\u300a\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u300a\u81ea\u7136\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u300a\u5fc3\u7406\u79d1\u5b66\u300b\u7b49\u671f\u520a\u4e0a\u3002\u5979\u66fe\u5728\u4f17\u591a\u5a92\u4f53\u4e0a\u53d1\u8868\u8fc7\u4e13\u9898\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u5e76\u4e3a\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u300a\u65f6\u4ee3\u300b\u6742\u5fd7\u3001\u300a\u534e\u76db\u987f\u90ae\u62a5\u300b\u3001CNN\u3001BBC \u7b49\u5a92\u4f53\u64b0\u7a3f\u3002\u5728\u6210\u4e3a\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u6c99\u6d1b\u7279\u5728\u91d1\u878d\u884c\u4e1a\u5de5\u4f5c\u4e86\u51e0\u5e74\uff0c\u5e76\u66fe\u5728\u4ee5\u8272\u5217\u7a7a\u519b\u670d\u5f79\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u838e\u4f26\u7279\u6559\u6388\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u878d\u5408\u4e86\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u3001\u884c\u4e3a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u548c\u5fc3\u7406\u5b66\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u7814\u7a76\u9886\u57df\u5305\u62ec\u60c5\u611f\u548c\u52a8\u673a\u5982\u4f55\u5f71\u54cd\u4eba\u4eec\u7684\u4fe1\u5ff5\u548c\u51b3\u7b56\u3002\u5979\u7684\u6240\u8457\u56fe\u4e66The Optimism Bias (2011) \u548cThe Influential Mind (2017) \u53d7\u5230\u300a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u300b\u300a\u6cf0\u6664\u58eb\u62a5\u300b\u300a\u798f\u5e03\u65af\u300b\u7b49\u5a92\u4f53\u7684\u597d\u8bc4\u3002\u9664\u4e86\u5b66\u672f\u89d2\u8272\u5916\uff0c\u838e\u4f26\u7279\u8fd8\u62c5\u4efb\u8de8\u56fd\u516c\u53f8\u548c\u653f\u5e9c\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u987e\u95ee\uff0c\u5e76\u62c5\u4efb\u591a\u5bb6\u516c\u53f8\u7684\u8463\u4e8b\u4f1a\u6210\u5458\u3002\u5979\u7684\u4e24\u6b21 TED\u6f14\u8bb2\u603b\u89c2\u770b\u6b21\u6570\u8d85\u8fc71500 \u4e07\u6b21\u3002<\/p>\n<h3>\u300a\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d\u300b\u4e0b\u8f7d<\/h3>\n<blockquote>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/pan.quark.cn\/s\/c42f0e7b81c5\"  target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">\u300a\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d\u300b\u5854\u5229\u00b7\u838e\u7f57\u7279.zip<\/a><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u5728\u300a\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u516b\u5927\u969c\u788d\u300b\u4e2d\uff0c\u795e\u7ecf\u79d1\u5b66\u5bb6\u5854\u5229\u00b7\u838e\u7f57\u7279 \uff08Tali Sharot\uff09 \u5e26\u6211\u4eec\u63a2\u7d22\u4e86\u5f71\u54cd\u529b\u7684\u672c\u8d28\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u90fd [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[157],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1148","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-renwen"],"jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1148","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1148"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1148\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1148"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1148"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/book.feizhaojun.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1148"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}